CIO Outlook 2025 by Jeffrey Lee, CIO at Phillip Capital Management
As we begin 2025, the investment landscape is marked by excitement, trepidation and uncanny echoes of previous stock market bubbles. The rapid advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming industries, creating new opportunities and the next frontier of Agentic AI – systems capable of independent action and learning. However, we urge caution as the optimism surrounding AI may not meet investors heightened expectations on tangible returns on investments. Already, some of the biggest customers of Nvidia have acknowledged the possibility that AI will not advance as quickly as expected. Simply, they have used up most of the digital text available on the internet. In short, they have run out of data to improve their AI systems!
US stock markets have moved far ahead of American exceptionalism. America’s 70% share of global stock market indices is far greater than its 30% share of the global economy. Four decades ago, US stock markets constitutes just 30% of global stock market indices. For comparison, at its peak, in December 1989, Japanese stocks had a total market value of about US$4 trillion, 1.5 times the value of US stock market and close to 45% of the world’s stock market capitalization! It was Japanese exceptionalism then as exemplified by the Toyota Way of Just-In-Time production…. (continued)
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