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The Blueprint

Turning Conservation into Investment

Turning Conservation into Investment

  • Forests provide essential ecosystem services, yet deforestation has pushed the planet beyond key boundaries, weakening Earth’s resilience and increasing climate-related risks.
  • The proposed US$125 billion Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF) aims to make conservation financially competitive, but its success depends on clearer investment details.

Forests are often described as the lungs of the Earth. They provide both instrumental and intrinsic value, with the former reflected in the essential ecosystem services they offer. Yet humanity has long placed greater emphasis on their economic value. Industries such as timber and large-scale land clearing for raw materials have accelerated deforestation. As a result, we have crossed key planetary boundaries, including land-system change.

Fig.1: Deforestation

When the Earth’s carrying capacity is exceeded, its natural ability to regenerate weakens. We are now seeing the consequences: extreme weather events, ocean acidification, and rising global temperatures. Without the regulating functions provided by forests, the world becomes increasingly unstable, threatening both human lives and economic prosperity.

As people begin to recognise the consequences of their actions, calls for stronger forest protection have grown. Efforts such as carbon credit schemes and the establishment of IUCN-protected areas are helping drive conservation. However, progress remains far too slow to protect forests at the scale needed to avert ecological catastrophe. Much more must be done to safeguard the world’s remaining forested areas.

Fig. 2: Tropical Rainforest

At COP30 this year, a new US$125 billion rainforest fund is emerging as one of the headline announcements. Known as the Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF), the initiative seeks to correct long-standing market failures by placing a financial value on the ecosystem services provided by tropical forests. Its core idea is simple: create a strong global incentive to preserve forests by paying countries to keep them standing rather than clearing them.

Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva describes the TFFF as a breakthrough because it operates as “an investment fund, not a donation mechanism”. In principle, investors can expect returns, making the fund less vulnerable to shifts in political priorities. Today, countries often earn more from cutting down forests for timber or agricultural land than from conservation, which is one of the major drivers of deforestation. The TFFF aims to reverse this logic.

Instead of financing specific conservation projects, the facility is structured like a permanent endowment. It plans to raise US$25 billion in sponsor capital from governments and philanthropic contributors. 53 countries have expressed support so far, including 19 that may become sovereign investors.

Several countries have already put forward financial commitments to support the initiative. Norway has pledged US$3 billion over ten years, subject to conditions. Brazil and Indonesia have each reaffirmed contribution of US$1 billion. Portugal has committed US$1 million, while France has indicated it may provide up to €500 million by 2030, also on a conditional basis. The Netherlands has allocated US$5 million to support the fund’s secretariat, and Germany has announced a €1 billion contribution. The fund also intends to raise an additional US$100 billion by issuing bonds to private investors.

Once fully capitalised, the entire US$125 billion will be invested in financial markets. After interest and sponsor payments are covered, the remaining investment returns will be distributed to participating countries at roughly US$4 per hectare of intact tropical forest, with deductions applied if forest loss occurs. The TFFF offers a more attractive model for private capital than many previous climate-finance mechanisms.

While the TFFF shows significant promise, it is important to approach it with caution, as the initiative is still in its early stages. This is because key details on the sectors the fund will invest in and the specific markets it will target remain unclear. Even so, this mechanism offers an opportunity for investors to earn financial returns while indirectly supporting efforts to curb deforestation.

The effectiveness of this new conservation finance model will become clearer in the coming years. This is particularly relevant for companies that rely heavily on forestry resources. For these firms, shifting towards regenerative or sustainable raw materials is becoming increasingly important. Doing so helps safeguard their operations against future policy changes and reduces exposure to transition risks. Companies that actively assess and improve the sustainability of their supply chains will be better positioned to adapt to emerging regulations and maintain stable profits.

As investors, we welcome financing mechanisms that can generate returns while delivering ESG benefits. In a rapidly evolving landscape, we favour companies that are aware of their dependence on raw materials and are actively transitioning to more sustainable alternatives. We also encourage companies to review and strengthen their supplier codes of conduct to reflect new environmental expectations. Firms that regularly engage their suppliers and support them through the transition towards a greener economy will be better equipped to deliver long-term value.

 

The Blueprint

With the ever-changing landscape around us, it can get overwhelming to stay up-to-date. The Blueprint highlights pertinent global Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues and their importance to investors and the wider community. We look forward to engaging in discussions about the interconnections between climate, nature, and social outcomes that impact our investments and our futures.

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